Against about 6 million people unemployed, the job openings peaked in April at nearly 12 million openings. That's two jobs for every one unemployed worker, and the Fed has been using that data point throughout the five months to justify tough talk about the rate path.
But as we know, the rate path already has created a shock to the global financial system: enough to bring two major central banks off of the sidelines and back into the game of emergency policies (i.e. both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank: backstopping sovereign bond markets).
This destabilization in the financial system creates a conundrum for a Fed that's threatening bigger and bolder rate moves, as the job gap they've been touting, as their objective, has shown little signs of change.
On Monday, they were thrown a life-line. The August report on job openings, from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, magically collapsed by 1.1 million jobs. Over a million jobs vanished in a month.
To put that in perspective, that was the biggest change on record (by far), only slightly behind the April 2020 collapse in job openings (when the economy was practically shut down).
That brings the job openings to workers ratio down to about 1.6 to 1.
And as you can see in the next chart, wage growth is tame, within the range of pre-pandemic, and running around 3.6% annualized in August (monthly change).